Tuesday, December 20, 2011

Is Asif Zardari a Pawn in a Battle of Wits,




Dont Know who is the author. But Worth Reading.....


 
 Is Asif Zardari a pawn in a battle of wits?
  
 
  
 To resign or not to resign is not for Asif Zardari to decide. His illness
 and the Memo scandal might have taken him to Dubai. He might also return to
 Islamabad. However, the decisive factors are well beyond his control. He may
 be only a pawn in a battle that the Pentagon, the State Department and our
 army are fighting among themselves.
 
 
 First the background The battleground is Afghanistan. The State Department
 wants to cut losses and run from it because peace, whatever its shape, may
 help Barack bin Obama stay in the White House for the next term. On the
 other hand, the Pentagon wants to prolong its stay as long as possible. Bob
 Woodward laid their intentions bare in his book, "Obama's wars." According
 to him, Obama could never pin them down to an exit strategy. (They only said
 that the insurgency required 500,000 troops, 100,000 Americans and 400,000
 Afghans. With only about 100,000 Afghan soldiers available after 10 years,
 the rest may take decades.)
 
 
 The Pentagon do realize that the army's help is crucial in prolonging their
 stay. That may not be certain if the Zardari government continues because it
 is under the thumb of the State Department. Left to the State, both Zardari
 and his party may be reelected easily for another term. If it does not
 happen, the successor elected government may also not be palatable because
 it may be less pliable
 
 .
 The interest of the army coincides with that of the Pentagon. It wants the
 Pentagon to stay on in Afghanistan so that civil war does not start there,
 as it happened after the Russians left, with harmful fallout for our
 country. The army also wants to get rid of the government, and sooner the
 better.
 
 
 The maneuvers by Condoleezza Rice, Secretary of State under President Bush,
 paved the way for NRO and then PPP government. The idea was to have a
 liberal, pro-America government that will go out of the way to help the war
 in Afghanistan. It worked very well. America got concessions and facilities
 that Pervez Musharraf would have not agreed to. (No wonder, he was eased out
 within months of the PPP taking over.) Americans had the run of the country,
 while the rulers were too busy plundering the country, and destroying the
 economy and institutions.
 The army played ball until now. It ignored every destructive action of the
 government, while the people groaned in misery and desperation. The problem
 was that the U.S. was running amok and it would not have been easy to change
 the government without its consent.
 
 
 Though the State is still in love with the Zardari coterie, help is coming
 from the Pentagon. On its prodding, Mansoor Ijaz exploded the bomb of the
 Memo scandal under the feet of the PPP regime, which is now tottering on the
 verge of collapse.
 
 
 Now the action The army was up in arms because it was never aware of the
 treacherous Memo by the government. Its first step was to get the head of
 the State's man in our embassy in Washington. The next would have been to
 bring down the government but the State intervened. It is also trying to
 shore up the coterie, with its powerful lobby in our media working full time
 to discredit the Memo and Mansoor.
 
 
 The Pentagon made the next move by attacking deliberately the Silala post.
 The purpose was to provoke the army to force the government take some
 drastic steps: NATO supplies blocked, Shimshi airport vacated, and most
 important, Bonn conference boycotted. The State was stunned
 
 .
 Now the battle is raging. The State wants the army to overthrow the Zardari
 coterie so that it may go abroad and wait for better days, as it happened
 with Benazir, who left the country in 1999 just before she was to get her
 first conviction in court, until her triumphant return in 2007.
 On the other hand, the Pentagon wants PPP government to go on its own, so
 that it may deal easily with the army and also reduce anti-Americanism in
 the country.
 
 
 The army also does not want to have another political martyr on its hands.
 Therefore, it wants Zardari to resign voluntarily and disappear into
 oblivion. That will pave the way for a better political setup in the interim
 period and also allow a massive cleanup of the political mess that has been
 accumulating for decades.
 The outcome. If the State Department wants the help of the army in
 Afghanistan, it will have to ask Zardari to resign. In addition, it will
 have to retrace the steps it has been taking in favor of India. If it
 doesn't, there will be more problems. That will allow the Pentagon blame the
 State for snatching failure from the jaws of a (presumed) military success
 in Afghanistan.
 
 
 Who will blink first?

 Wait for some more days. Meanwhile, Zardari will keep
 his fingers crossed, here or abroad, though not for long. 2012 will be a
really new year for us, the people.





http://www.scribd.com/doc/61839666/Indo-Pak-Wars-A-Pictorial-History


http://www.scribd.com/doc/21686885/TALIBAN-WAR-IN-PAKISTAN-AFGHANISTAN-A-WRITERS-PERCEPTIONS-FROM-2001-TO-2011


http://www.scribd.com/doc/22457862/Military-Decision-making-and-leadership


http://www.scribd.com/doc/22151765/History-of-Pakistan-Army-from-1757-to-1971-PRINTING-ENABLED-Do-acknowledge-to-the-author


http://www.scribd.com/doc/22455178/Letters-to-Command-and-Staff-College-Quetta-Citadel-Journal


http://www.scribd.com/doc/23150027/Pakistan-Army-through-eyes-of-Pakistani-Generals


http://www.scribd.com/doc/23701412/War-of-Independence-of-1857


http://www.scribd.com/doc/22107238/HISTORY


http://www.scribd.com/doc/21693873/Indo-Pak-Wars-1947-71-A-STRATEGIC-AND-OPERATIONAL-ANALYSIS-BY-A-H-AMIN-THIS-BOOK-CAN-BE-PRINTED-FROM-THIS-SITE
 



 









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