Saturday, October 8, 2011

More on the Haqqanis from the Friday Times-Стратегическое России по возможностям



Now the Pakistani liberals want the USA to succeed whereas when the USSR was at its prime they had another line.


The question is why should the US be allowed to succeed in Afghanistan or Pakistan for that matter as both states were instrumental in destroying worlds only Pashtun and West Asias only liberal regime.


Why should Pakistan or the USA be allowed to succeed in Afghanistan at all ?


Both regard Afghanistans 50 % Non Pashtuns and liberal Pashtuns like livestock which can be betrayed to the extremist Taliban ?


The logical answer is division and a South Korea like international presence of a strong Russian-Iranian-Central Asian Republics force on line Kabul Bagram with a neutral corridor if possible between Kabul and Torkham.


Plenty of the only power that the Taliban fear and respect ? Heavy strategic bombers and tactical ground strike air regiments !


The result would be ultimate emergence of a Pashtun state in both Afghanistan and Pakistan and a simplere and neater strategic map.






A Baloch autonomous neutral zone whose neutrality is guaranteed by both Iran and Russia would be the strategic corridor through which the TAPI line will pass

and deter the Taliban from blackmailing any one as far as TAPI is concerned.

There is no doubt that the ultimate losers in Afghan war both materially and psychologically have been the Pashtuns


The essential issue in Afghanistan is to guarantee life and property to at least 50 % of its population who are moderate

and who will be forced to live as fourth rate citizens if Afghanistan is taken over by force of arms by the Taliban with complete

Pakistani and Saudi support.


The bottomline is that if Pakistan and India have to fight a war they should do it at Wagah or Sialkot and not in Afghanistan.


Afghanistan cannot stand any more Pakistani or Indian strategic designs !


We hope sincerely that both US and Pakistan  fail in Afghanistan !


HA HA HA


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Russia's Strategic Opportunity

I WROTE THIS ARTICLE IN PAKISTANS DAILY NATION IN 2003.THE CORRUPT MILITARY REGIME OF MUSHARRAF DID NOT LIKE THE ARTICLE AND I RECEIVED SOME THREATS ALSO.

2ND SEP 2003

Russia's Strategic Opportunity

A.H Amin




Many years earlier when the old USSR had stumbled into Afghanistan the USA had manipulated the Muslims of Afghanistan and many other parts of the world to wage a Jihad against USSR !


Some 13,310 Soviet soldiers and airmen , many of them Muslims from Central Asia and Caucasus were killed , thanks to sophisticated weapons supplied to the Afghan Mujahideen by USA !


4,730 dead in 1980 , 1981 and 1982 ,1984 in the year 1982 , and 2,343 in 1984 !


1000 Stinger Missiles and 250 launchers were provided by USA against Russian aerial power !


The smugglimg of Heroin in USSR and to the Red Army was institutionalised as a policy to weaken the resolve of the Soviets !


When all this was achieved the Afghans were dumped by USA and today US aerial bombing in Afghanistan thanks to the likes of daisy cutters etc is a deadlier US gift to Afghans !


Today the USA hunts the same Mujahideen used by it to fight against USSR like partridges in Paktia and Spin Baldak !The Quixotic US venture in Iraq stands out as a grand strategic opportunity for Russia to undo the unipolar world order and avenge the Afghan War ! All that is required is a statesman with Lenin's strategic insight and coup d oeil to start a grand strategic process of revival and reassertion !


While the USSR involvement in Afghanistan was essentially a haphazard hastily initiated affair to assist a pro Soviet regime , US invasion of Iraq strategically speaking is a well planned venture which has the potential to destabilise Russia and many other power centres by dominating the Middle East Oil and to stage further adventurist moves against Russia' soft under belly i.e the Central Asian Republics etc.


Thus once Russia enters the arena as an active player assisting anti US forces waging a just war of liberation against USA it would not only be guarding its own strategic interests but also gain the good will of the Islamic world whose masses are led by tinpot dictators and kings who have already literally prostrated themselves in front of USA symbolically changing the direction of their grand strategic geopolitical Kaba from Mecca to Washington D.C .


Today the USA is stuck in Iraq and Afghanistan in a far more irrevocable way than USSR in Afghanistan !


This is the ideal moment for Russia and China to act as friends of freedom fighters in Iraq and Afghanistan ! Bury the dead past , strike a deal with Chechnyans and settle strategic scores with a power which has a major role in demise of USSR !Sentiments of the populace,terrain , global strategic situation and logistics all favour the Russian role !


Iran can be the frontline state similar to Pakistan ! By striking another deal with Tajiks and Uzbeks partitioning Afghanistan the Russians can also arrive at a strategic understanding with the Pashtun anti US forces !


Today the Russians are no longer Godless communists but Christian people of the book like Muslims ! By aiding the anti US Iraqi resistance the Russians would be having a guaranteed share in a post US liberated Iraq and a more democratic post monarchist Arab world !


While the Soviet Union lost many billion dollars in Afghanistan , the total costs varying from 20 to 80 billion USD here in Iraq and Afghanistan by a mere half a billion USD per year the Russians can achieve miracles in turning the scales against anti US forces !2003 is Russia and any other power which wants to undo the unipolar world orders golden opportunity ! The US occupation of Iraq must not succeed ! If it succeeds unipolar world order would become a permanent reality for at least half a century !



Стратегическое России по возможностямЯ написал эту статью В PAKISTANS Daily Nation В 2003.THE CORRUPT военный режим Мушаррафа не понравилась статья, и я получил некоторые угрозы также.

2-ое сентября 2003Стратегическое России по возможностям
A.H Амин

Много лет назад, когда старый СССР наткнулся в Афганистан США было манипулировать мусульман Афганистана и многих других частях мира вести джихад против СССР!Некоторые 13310 советских солдат и летчиков, многие из них мусульмане из Центральной Азии и Кавказа были убиты, благодаря современным оружием поставляется афганских моджахедов на США!4730 мертвыми в 1980, 1981 и 1982, 1984 в 1982 году и 2343 в 1984 году!Stinger 1000 ракет и пусковых установок 250 были предоставлены США против Русского воздушные силы!Smugglimg героина в СССР и Красной Армии, как институционализированной политики ослабить решимость Советам!Когда все это было достигнуто афганцев были сброшены на США и на сегодняшний день американских воздушных ударов в благодарность Афганистане с подобными т.д. ромашки резцов смертоносными США подарок афганцев!Сегодня США охотится же моджахедов используемые им для борьбы с СССР, как куропаток в Пактия и спин Baldak! Quixotic предприятия США в Ираке выступает в качестве великой стратегическую возможность для России отменить однополярного мирового порядка и отомстить афганской войны!Все что требуется, это государственный деятель с стратегическое видение, Ленина и переворот законотворчества начать грандиозный стратегический процесс возрождения и возрождением!Хотя участие СССР в Афганистане, по сути случайно поспешно инициировал дело, чтобы помочь про советскую власть, США вторжения в Ирак стратегической точки зрения является хорошо спланированной предприятие, которое имеет потенциал для дестабилизации России и многих других центров силы, угнетая ближневосточной нефти и на этапе дальнейшие шаги против авантюристической мягкие Россия "под брюхом т.е. республик Центральной Азии и т.д.Таким образом, когда в России на арену в качестве активного игрока помощь анти американские войска ведут справедливую освободительную войну против США он будет не только охрана свои стратегические интересы, но и получить от доброй воли исламскому миру, массы которых во главе с tinpot диктаторов ицарей, которые уже буквально падали ниц перед США символически изменение направления их великих стратегических геополитических Каба из Мекки в Вашингтоне.Сегодня США застряли в Ираке и Афганистане, в гораздо более безотзывной способом, чем СССР в Афганистане!Это идеальный момент для России и Китая в качестве друзей борцов за свободу в Ираке и Афганистане! Бери мертвое прошлое, заключить сделку с Chechnyans и решить стратегические счеты с силой, которая играет важную роль в кончине СССР! Чувства населения, рельеф местности, глобальной стратегической ситуации и логистики все пользу роли России!Иран может быть государство фронта похожа на Пакистан! По поразительное другое дело с таджиками и узбеками перегородки Афганистане россияне могут также прийти стратегические договоренности с пуштунскими анти сил США!Сегодня россияне уже не безбожных коммунистов, но христианский народ книги, как мусульмане!Содействуя анти США иракского сопротивления русские будут иметь гарантированную долю в США после освобождения Ирака и более демократичным сообщение монархической арабском мире!В то время как Советский Союз потерял много миллиардов долларов в Афганистане, общая стоимость колеблется от 20 до 80 миллиардов долларов США здесь, в Ираке и Афганистане, просто полмиллиарда долларов США в год россияне могут достичь чудес в превращении весы против анти сил США! 2003 это Россия, и любая другая власть, которая хочет отменить однополярного мира заказов прекрасную возможность! Американская оккупация Ирака не должно получится! Если это удастся однополярный мир стал бы постоянной реальностью, по крайней мере, половина века!



The article below appeared in the weekly Friday Times written by Khaled Ahmed. It gives a detailed background about the worsening US-Pak relations. The point is that all states in the world seem to operate in the grey areas of intelligence & destabilization. Khalid Aziz,

 

Analysis By Khaled Ahmed

US-Pakistan relations

 

The planned committee that will ensure that the APC statement is acted upon will have a tough time bringing the Haqqanis under control because in this instance the tail is wagging the dog 


Behind Pakistan's 'Haqqani problem'

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Gen Hamid Gul with Haqqani network men in a picture taken during the Afghan Jihad

During the APC against America on 29 September 2011 in Islamabad, Maulana Samiul Haq said that the Haqqani network was 'indigenous to Pakistan'. How could he say that except on the basis of the fact that both the founder of the Network, Jalaluddin Haqqani and his son the current commander Siraj, are graduates of his Madrassa Haqqania in Akora Khattak, Nowshehra, near Peshawar?

Once upon a time, Jalaluddin Haqqani built extensive links with ISI, the CIA, and Arab fighters in the region, including Osama bin Laden. Jalaluddin has always had a strong base in North Waziristan. Indeed, his decision to launch an uprising against reportedly took place at a meeting of Afghan refugees at the Muhajireen mosque in Miranshah in the spring of 1978

There are other efforts afoot to own the Network. Reference is made to the 1980s and the US-backed jihad against the Soviet Union when Jalaluddin Haqqani began camping in North Waziristan while serving one of the seven Afghan militias headquartered in Peshawar. Such claims in favour of Haqqani Network's 'indigenisation' in Pakistan ring hollow. The truth is that the Haqqanis are in control of the Afghan provinces of Khost, Paktia, Paktika, Ghazni, Logar, Wardak, and Kabul, and provide support to Taliban networks in Kunar, Nangarhar, Helmand, and Kandahar provinces.


The Americans are targeting the Haqqanis in North Waziristan - most of the drone attacks were aimed at their men - and Pakistan Army doesn't like it. Yet if you indigenise the Haqqanis, you come under direct criticism of carrying out attacks against the Americans in Afghanistan. The Americans say they have evidence of Pakistan's nexus with Haqqanis as they attack Kabul, and President Obama's partial retreat from this position after the anti-American APC orchestrated by the Pakistan Army in Islamabad, will hardly make America keep quiet over the issue.


But some facts have to be kept in view. Once upon a time, Jalaluddin Haqqani built extensive links with Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence agency (ISI), the American CIA, and Arab fighters in the region, including Osama bin Laden. While fighting in Afghanistan, Jalaluddin has always had a strong base in North Waziristan. Indeed, his decision to launch an uprising against Afghanistan's Soviet-backed communist government reportedly took place at a meeting of Afghan refugees at the Muhajireen mosque in Miranshah in the spring of 1978.

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Jalaluddin Haqqani with Gen (r) Hamid Gul in an undated picture

Jalaluddin Haqqani with Gen (r) Hamid Gul in an undated picture

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During the anti-Soviet jihad, Jalaluddin operated under the Yunus Khalis faction of the Hizb-e-Islami party, an arrangement that provided political cover and access to resources. Although Jalaluddin was well-educated, he was primarily a military commander, earning his greatest victory in 1991 when he captured the city of Khost from the post-Soviet communist regime in Kabul.


There is also evidence of the Haqqanis arousing deep devotion among his ISI handlers in Pakistan. The year Benazir Bhutto was killed in Rawalpindi in 2007, after naming ex-ISI chief Hamid Gul as one of her possible assassins, the Bush administration forwarded a two-page unsigned document to Pakistan. It accused Gul of giving financial assistance to Kabul-based criminal groups and involvement in spotting, assessing, recruiting and training young men from seminaries:


'Hamid Gul has maintained extensive contacts over the years with Taliban and Al Qaeda operatives located in Pakistan, providing financial support and encouragement to these groups. In 2005, Hamid Gul provided general overarching guidance to the Taliban leadership on operational activities in Afghanistan. In 2008, Hamid Gul was in contact with the militant group Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) and its leadership, including Baitullah Mehsud, and provided the TTP leadership and operatives with guidance on the conduct of militant operations in the Afghanistan-Pakistan border region...


'Hamid Gul was a regular contact for Sirajuddin Haqqani and regularly apprised Sirajuddin of Pakistan government activity in the Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA). As of early 2007, Gul was involved in spotting, assessing, and recruiting young men from various Pakistani madrassas for training in eventual attacks against US-led coalition in Afghanistan.


'The training consisted of techniques for laying mines, arson and suicide bombings. As of late 2006, Gul was also involved in the training camps. In late 2006, Gul provided money to a Kabul-based criminal group for every International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) member that the group kidnapped and turned over to the Taliban.

After allegations by the US that he was supporting insurgents in Afghanistan, Gen Hamid Gul appeared on TV to explain his and his sons' private friendship with the Haqqanis in North Waziristan

'In addition to these kidnapping-for-ransom activities, this criminal group  sold weapons and explosives to the Taliban and acted as travel facilitators for Taliban members in Afghanistan. As of mid-2008, Gul has knowledge of the resettlement of Al Qaeda members from Iraq to the Afghanistan-Pakistan border region'. ('Secret document confirms Hameed Gul wanted by US': The News, 7 December 2008.)


(As if upset by the US document, Gul subsequently appeared on TV to explain his and his sons' private friendship with the Haqqanis in North Waziristan. He revealed that he had once sent his son to jihad. Rumours continue to involve his son, Abdullah Gul.)


After the US-led invasion of Afghanistan in 2001, Jalaluddin and his allies returned to Miranshah, much as they had in the face of threats in the mid-1970s. Jalaluddin Haqqani's legacy in Miranshah is apparent in many areas, but especially at Haqqani-run madrassas, which have provided food and lodging to a generation of religious students in the area.


Although Jalaluddin is widely respected among militants in North Waziristan for his role in the anti-Soviet jihad, his relationship with tribal leaders in the agency is complex. The Haqqanis come from the Zadran tribe, which is based in Afghanistan's Khost province, and their lack of tribal roots in North Waziristan has occasionally prompted scorn from tribal leaders in the agency, even in the 1980s. This weakness has likely empowered Hafiz Gul Bahadur, who does have tribal roots in North Waziristan.


Pakistan cannot oust the Haqqanis for various reasons, and the Americans will go on targeting them with drones, in North Waziristan, and in Kurram where they have been partially relocated. But the Haqqani Network's organisational base is Miranshah, where it operates from at least three compounds: the Miranshah bazaar camp, which contains a madrassa and computer facilities; a compound in the suburb of Sarai Darpa Khel; and another in the suburb of Danday Darpa Khel, where members of Jalaluddin's family reside. Most major financial decisions, the organisation of weapons acquisition and delivery, and the development of overall military strategy take place in Miranshah.


As with other Afghan insurgent groups, the Haqqanis' funds come from a variety of sources. Some of Sirajuddin's brothers are believed to travel to the Persian Gulf region to raise money, relying on Jalaluddin's networks from the mujahideen years and more recently established contacts.


The planned committee that will ensure that the APC statement is acted upon will have a tough time bringing the Haqqanis under control because in this instance the tail is wagging the dog. Saleem Shahzad in his book Inside Al Qaeda and the Taliban: Beyond Bin Laden and 9/11 by Saleem Shahzad (Pluto Press 2011) revealed that Al Qaeda controlled all jihad and terrorism in Pakistan. The Punjabi Taliban are under Haqqani Network which is aligned at once with Al Qaeda and Mullah Umar's Shura, while additionally aligned with Pakistan Army.


The Pakistan Army, which calls all the shots in Pakistan, may be leaning on pragmatism in its policy towards the Haqqani Network: it will not say that it is unable to take on the 'foreigners' because of the feelings of common cause they arouse inside the Pakistan Army or because it is more determined to keep to the compass of its supreme goal of keeping India out of Afghanistan and facing its army, if need be, on the eastern border. The world, more inclined to lean on international law, cannot accept Pakistan's policy of surrendering sovereignty to Al Qaeda and its affiliates as they carry out attacks across Pakistan's frontiers.




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Posted By Blogger to Understanding Each Other, Diversity and Dissent at 10/07/2011 11:47:00 PM


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http://www.scribd.com/doc/21693873/Indo-Pak-Wars-1947-71-A-STRATEGIC-AND-OPERATIONAL-ANALYSIS-BY-A-H-AMIN-THIS-BOOK-CAN-BE-PRINTED-FROM-THIS-SITE

Man would indeed be in a poor way if he had to be restrained by fear of punishment and hope of reward after death."  --
Albert Einstein !!!




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