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Sunday, August 29, 2010

Indecent proposal —Mir Mohammad Ali Talpur

I hope all is well with you. I'm sending my piece, "Indecent
proposal" which was printed in the 'Daily Times' today for your kind
perusal.*

* With Very Best Regards*
* Mir Mohammad Ali Talpur*
**
*

ANALYSIS: Indecent proposal —Mir Mohammad Ali Talpur

The MQM has lost all moral ground, if it ever had any, to continue in the
assemblies and government. If it has an iota of shame it should resign and
give up the power and pelf that it has acquired by running with the hare and
hunting with the hound

In the movie 'Indecent Proposal' starring Robert Redford and Demi Moore, a
loving couple trying to build their dream lives stumble upon bad times and,
by a twist of fate, meet a millionaire. In the hope of making it good, the
husband (Woody Harrelson) sells his conjugal rights, with the wife's
consent, to the millionaire for a night and ruins their blissful lives.

I suppose you will have guessed what I am alluding to. Yes, to the 'indecent
proposal' made by Altaf Hussain, the leader of the supposedly secular,
middle-class, liberal and democratic MQM to 'patriotic generals', offering
the conjugal (democratic) rights of the people inhabiting the geographical
frontiers of Pakistan. He made no bones about it and brazenly offered for
sale something he has no right to whatsoever. He may be entitled to sell the
MQM's conjugal rights, which he willingly, lucratively and frequently does,
but has no right to offer selling others into matrimony. He has invited
patriotic generals to impose something akin to martial law so that, with the
MQM's collaboration, things can be put right. What cheek!

After this indecent proposal, the MQM has lost all moral ground, if it ever
had any, to continue in the assemblies and government. If it has an iota of
shame it should resign from the assemblies and the government forthwith and
give up the power and pelf that it has acquired by running with the hare and
hunting with the hound. But then this free agent has prospered by always
providing services to the highest bidder, professed differences
notwithstanding. This appeal is a classic example of the MQM's running with
the hare and hunting with the hound policy.

Daily Times' editorial of August 24th was poignant: "Altaf Hussain, chief of
the Muttahida Qaumi Movement (MQM), has appealed for a 'martial law-like'
intervention by patriotic generals against corrupt feudals and landlord
politicians. Coming from someone whose party is known for its ethnic
exclusivism — despite pretending otherwise of late — and various other
crimes like land grabbing, bhatta (protection money), torturing and/or
murdering dissenters, Mr Hussain's statement could have been laughed at for
its sheer absurdity. The only problem is, this is no laughing matter."

True, no laughing matter this.

One can only wonder at whose bidding Altaf's statement has come. Is it the
US, the IMF, the World Bank or the generals themselves? And whose goose or
gander is to be cooked? Interestingly, there has been no immediate public
response from the army. Condemnation has been widespread but support has
come from Imran Khan and Pir Pagara.

Tragically, this appeal may find takers in the ranks of pivotal members of
the establishment and tempt them to replace this set-up with another
composed of the MQM and other politicians of equally easy virtue. The fact
that the politicians are corrupt, inept and self-serving is not a good
enough reason to invite 'patriotic' generals. Moreover, the MQM has been a
part and parcel of the establishment and is, therefore, equally responsible
for the present mess. And who decides what patriotism is and who is
patriotic? Patriotism's connotations here differ not only from region to
region, party to party, but also from individual to individual, except
perhaps in MQM-like organisations that run on fascist principles. Moreover,
if the patriotic generals have the right to rule, why should patriotic
doctors and teachers not have the same right?

Already a new government of supposedly selfless persons is being touted on
the internet. A major cause of concern are the unprincipled and unscrupulous
politicians who delight in such mishaps because of lucrative prospects and
will overtly or covertly offer their services and encourage the patriotic
generals. Such politicians have always abetted in depriving people of their
rights and accepted even the most dishonourable arrangement as kosher if it
was deemed profitable enough — 1999 being a glaring example.

Musharraf favouring the MQM was understandable but the way the spineless,
consensus-driven PPP has been appeasing it is simply unpardonable because it
has jeopardised the rights of Sindhis in Sindh like never before. But then
the PPP's singular aim is to stay in power and it is too busy doing this to
think about the rights of those it fools with emotional slogans during the
elections.

The MQM's policies are devious, divisive and destructive, as the May 12th,
April 9th and recent carnages after the murder of its MPA amply prove.
Though always an aggressor, it has adopted the Israeli tactic of presenting
itself as a victim. Israel bombards the Palestinians and Lebanese with
depleted uranium weapons, cluster and white phosphorus bombs in response to
ineffectual rocket attacks and then claims to be a victim of terrorism. The
MQM too employs similar strategies to justify its violence in Karachi. The
MQM sees urban Sindh as its fiefdom. The IDPs have already been attacked
twice there.

Significantly, many nationalists see this indecent proposal as an attempt at
a renewal of the nexus between two ethnic groups to dominate the rest. It
has been unequivocally condemned by Sindhi and Pashtun leaders, but the
Baloch have maintained a meaningful silence, knowing their lot remains the
same under all regimes. If the patriotic generals accept this indecent
proposal, then there are hard days ahead for the Baloch, Sindhi and Pashtuns
in Karachi particularly and in Pakistan generally, because they are
considered corrupt, feudal and tribal while the MQM is saintly middle-class.

Mir Mohammad Ali Talpur has an association with the Baloch rights movement
going back to the early 1970s. He can be contacted at mmatalpur@gmail.com

http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/default.asp?page=2010\08\29\story_29-8-2010_pg3_5
*

--
Man would indeed be in a poor way if he had to be restrained by fear
of punishment and hope of reward after death." --
Albert Einstein !!!

http://www.scribd.com/doc/22151765/History-of-Pakistan-Army-from-1757-to-1971

http://www.scribd.com/doc/21693873/Indo-Pak-Wars-1947-71-A-STRATEGIC-AND-OPERATIONAL-ANALYSIS-BY-A-H-AMIN

http://www.scribd.com/doc/21686885/TALIBAN-WAR-IN-AFGHANISTAN

http://www.scribd.com/doc/22455178/Letters-to-Command-and-Staff-College-Quetta-Citadel-Journal

http://www.scribd.com/doc/23150027/Pakistan-Army-through-eyes-of-Pakistani-Generals

http://www.scribd.com/doc/23701412/War-of-Independence-of-1857

http://www.scribd.com/doc/22457862/Pakistan-Army-Journal-The-Citadel

http://www.scribd.com/doc/21952758/1971-India-Pakistan-War

http://www.scribd.com/doc/25171703/BOOK-REVIEWS-BY-AGHA-H-AMIN

Tuesday, August 24, 2010

Afghan officials challenge U.S. on aid contract abuses

Nakamura Aug 24 2010 Afghan officials challenge U.S. on aid contract abuses

The war in Afghanistan began on Oct. 7, 2001, as the U.S. military
launched an operation in response to the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks on
the U.S. The war continues today.


By David Nakamura

Washington Post staff writer
Tuesday, August 24, 2010

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/08/23/AR2010082302365.html?wpisrc=nl_headline

KABUL -- A spokesman for Afghan President Hamid Karzai challenged the
United States on Monday to clean up fraud and corruption within the
hundreds of millions of dollars of aid contracts it distributes to
Afghan companies each year, saying that abuse is far worse than any
irregularities in the Karzai administration.

This Story

Insurgent groups rouse fear before Afghan elections
Afghan officials challenge U.S. on aid contract abuses
Four U.S. soldiers die in Afghanistan
View All Items in This Story

Waheed Omer used his weekly news conference to take the offensive in
the ongoing political battle between the Karzai government and U.S.
officials over the mismanagement of international money.

Of every $100 million of aid coming into the country, Omer said, 80
percent is controlled by the United States and NATO. Therefore, he
said, it is up to international officials to enact safeguards and root
out illegal practices.

"Corruption is widely affecting the multimillion-dollar contracts
going to Afghans, who are becoming terribly rich out of those
contracts," Omer said. "We want the international community to work
with the government of Afghanistan to eliminate these sources of
corruption and target the roots and sources of corruption. A major
part are these international contracts."

Omer's remarks came just days after Karzai finished a series of
meetings with Sen. John F. Kerry (D-Mass.), who had flown to Kabul to
push Karzai to crack down on corruption within his administration.
Questions sent to Kerry through aides were not immediately answered.

Last month, Mohammad Zia Salehi, a high-level Karzai aide, was
arrested by Afghanistan's Major Crimes Task Force after allegedly
being overheard in a wire-tap soliciting a bribe of an automobile
worth $10,000. Salehi was released from jail within hours after Karzai
personally intervened, according to Afghan officials familiar with the
case. Karzai has said he acted because Salehi's human rights were
violated and the wire-tap was against Afghan rules.

The Washington Post reported last week that Salehi was also being
investigated for doling out luxury automobiles and cash to Karzai
allies and talking regularly with Taliban insurgents.

Asked to respond to those new allegations, Omer said: "In terms of the
official information this office has received, this arrest was
specifically for an alleged case of soliciting a bribe purported to be
in the shape of a car. . . . All details of those other allegations
are not part of this case as described to the government of
Afghanistan."

Karzai has been particularly critical of the private security forces,
which number more than 30,000 armed guards working primarily with
western organizations, including the U.S. military.

"We will take steps to stop corruption, whether it be in customs or in
services. But the government wants also to look into the wide-ranging
corruption in the international forces contracts. One area is the
private security companies, which are making billions of dollars and
threaten the security," Omer said.

The International Security Assistance Force (ISAF), NATO's force in
Afghanistan, has already established two task forces to examine
corruption -- one on international contracts and another on private
security firms.

"ISAF will soon issue comprehensive contracting guidance that will
ensure our contracting dollars best serve the Afghan people as well as
ISAF's mission," said a spokesman, Maj. Joel Harper.

Meanwhile, the federal Commission on Wartime Contracting announced
Monday that it will undertake a week-long examination of U.S.
construction contracts in Afghanistan. Co-Chairman Michael Thibault
said in a statement that $4 billion was wasted on construction in
Iraq, and similar problems could be found in Afghanistan.


--
Man would indeed be in a poor way if he had to be restrained by fear
of punishment and hope of reward after death." --
Albert Einstein !!!

http://www.scribd.com/doc/22151765/History-of-Pakistan-Army-from-1757-to-1971

http://www.scribd.com/doc/21693873/Indo-Pak-Wars-1947-71-A-STRATEGIC-AND-OPERATIONAL-ANALYSIS-BY-A-H-AMIN

http://www.scribd.com/doc/21686885/TALIBAN-WAR-IN-AFGHANISTAN

http://www.scribd.com/doc/22455178/Letters-to-Command-and-Staff-College-Quetta-Citadel-Journal

http://www.scribd.com/doc/23150027/Pakistan-Army-through-eyes-of-Pakistani-Generals

http://www.scribd.com/doc/23701412/War-of-Independence-of-1857

http://www.scribd.com/doc/22457862/Pakistan-Army-Journal-The-Citadel

http://www.scribd.com/doc/21952758/1971-India-Pakistan-War

http://www.scribd.com/doc/25171703/BOOK-REVIEWS-BY-AGHA-H-AMIN

Saturday, August 21, 2010

Homeless, hapless and helpless —Mir Mohammad Ali Talpur

ANALYSIS: Homeless, hapless and helpless —Mir Mohammad Ali Talpur

Sindhi politicians have failed the people of Sindh and the present situation
is an indictment of their record. Plans are afoot to make them even more
defenceless by more unnecessary urbanisation

A relative who resides in Karachi recently advised obtaining national
identity cards from Karachi. His logic? "Passports may soon be needed for
travel to Karachi." I regarded this as an ominous warning though others
brushed it off as a joke. Urban development at the cost of rural Sindh and
the consequential strain are a result of the malevolently engineered
economic divide. The state also proceeded to create a vicious political
divide and now Karachi is ruled by whoever has more guns. It augurs disaster
and devastation.

Governance since 1947 has been heavily tilted in favour of certain ethnic,
linguistic, institutional and religious sections and groups. Its outcome is
the prevailing economic, political, social and religious divide that is now
undoing the dream that they intended to strengthen.

In my piece, 'Conned again' (Daily Times, April 18, 2010), I wrote, "This
increasing deprivation will certainly exacerbate the prevailing alienation
and resentment among the Sindhi speaking people and could lead to a
pre-independence Cyprus-like situation in the not too distant future but it
seems the rulers are blind to such realities."

Wasey Jalil, an MQM leader, demanded that the IDPs should be registered. He
said, "It is our principled stand that people migrating to Karachi or any
other region for whatever reason should be registered with the relevant
authorities."

The MQM's principled stand demands that Sindhis should register themselves
in Karachi, which is in Sindh since 1795 thanks to the Talpurs. Next, the
Sindhis will be asked to register in Hyderabad and Shikarpur, etc. How would
people react if the Sindhis took a 'principled stand' and demanded that all
Karachites register if a natural disaster like a tsunami, earthquake or a
cyclone struck Karachi? That would be termed as inhumane and
'anti-Pakistan', but apparently Sindhi IDP registration is kosher.

Some IDPs who came to Marwat Park were fired upon, supposedly by the land
mafia but the video footage showed they were compelled to leave by the SHO
Mahmoodabad. A Sindhi daily comprehensively summed up the situation, terming
them as 'homeless in their own homeland'.

I am not exaggerating the threat of a Cyprus-like situation; the recent
frenzied revenge killings in Karachi and Hyderabad after MPA Haider Raza's
murder point to this grim reality. The state has allowed the MQM to
accumulate power and guns because it has its own concept of nationality and
nationalism, and in that frame the Sindhis count for naught.

Influential people in all provinces have been instrumental in selective
breaching of embankments primarily to save their holdings. Khursheed Shah
allegedly did not allow the breach of Ali Wahan embankment because he and
his relatives had agricultural land there. The already deprived and
devastated people have also been victims of theft and looting from their own
Sindhi brethren. Morality and decency seems to have departed from the land
of the Sufis as well.

You can see an endless stream of small trucks on highways loaded to the
brim, taking people and their cattle to safer places. They need to have a
place until the floodwater subsides and that is not happening any time soon
as a second flood follows in the first's wake. These floods have helped to
highlight the extremely vulnerable and tenuous position that the Sindhis
have within the state of Pakistan. Sindhi politicians have failed the people
of Sindh and the present situation is an indictment of their record.

Plans are afoot to make them even more defenceless by more unnecessary
urbanisation. Karachi, though prosperous, depends on the rest of Sindh for
its needs, making it vulnerable to pressure. I am not an alarmist but the
envisaged Zulfiqarabad is part of the grand urbanisation scheme aimed at
depriving the Sindhi people of an outlet to the sea and leaving them
completely at the mercy of the urban population.

A recent ordinance on Zulfiqarabad is brazenly unambiguous. It says, "The
city (Zulfiqarabad), being developed as a port city, is supposed to help the
government check migration of the rural population of the province to urban
areas, mainly Karachi." The Sindhi rural population's migration to Karachi
is seen as a problem but others are apparently welcome. Zulfiqarabad too
will become the reason for massive dispossession of the Sindhi population in
the same way as residents of the old Goths (villages) were dispossessed and
displaced in and around Karachi.

Moreover it says, "Zulfiqarabad Development Authority (ZDA) will extend to
such areas of Thatta district as specified by the government from time to
time through notifications." This means unbridled expansion until the aim of
complete dispossession of the Sindhi people there and their relegation to
second-class citizenship status is achieved.

This project is expected to utilise thousands of acres of barren land for
useful purposes. By useful purpose they mean creating already in vogue DHAs.
Salam Dharejo, writing in Newsline in September 2007, said, "The recent
allotment of 12,093 acres to the DHA on the Super Highway adjacent to the
Karachi toll plaza is the biggest-ever housing project of the DHA on
agricultural land. The land in question is, indeed, 'private' in many
respects. More than 10,000 people inhabit 15 different villages. And they
are not squatters. These villages have been in existence for 600 years.
Displacing people for the windfall profits is absolute injustice."

In Zulfiqarabad, it is the DHAs and moneyed classes that will benefit and
not the displaced Sindhis whose entire belongings fit in a small truck. In
September 2008, the Senate was told that 881 acres of sea-front land was
given to DHA on a 99-year lease at a premium of Rs 2.5 per square metre and
an annual rent of 18 paisa per square metre, i.e. Rs 8.913 million as
premium and Rs 641,758 as ground rent. Imagine if ever land will be given to
the poor Sindhis on these terms. The Sindhis are being increasingly
marginalised and are becoming homeless in their homeland. The 'terra nullius
doctrine' is being surreptitiously implemented with the connivance of power
hungry Sindhis. There is a real danger of them being relegated to Native
American and Aborigine status. The Baloch would have long ago been relegated
to that dishonourable status had it not been for the valour of those who
gave their birthright more importance than their lives. The unchecked
ascendancy of particular ethnic communities with the connivance of the state
and power hungry politicians is eventually going to evoke a violent backlash
from the Sindhis. Sometimes, natural calamities accentuate the sense of
alienation and lead to a struggle for rights. Hopefully, the misery created
by these floods will do the same.

Mir Mohammad Ali Talpur has an association with the Baloch rights movement
going back to the early 1970s. He can be contacted at mmatalpur@gmail.com

http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/default.asp?page=2010\08\22\story_22-8-2010_pg3_4
*

--
Man would indeed be in a poor way if he had to be restrained by fear
of punishment and hope of reward after death." --
Albert Einstein !!!

http://www.scribd.com/doc/22151765/History-of-Pakistan-Army-from-1757-to-1971

http://www.scribd.com/doc/21693873/Indo-Pak-Wars-1947-71-A-STRATEGIC-AND-OPERATIONAL-ANALYSIS-BY-A-H-AMIN

http://www.scribd.com/doc/21686885/TALIBAN-WAR-IN-AFGHANISTAN

http://www.scribd.com/doc/22455178/Letters-to-Command-and-Staff-College-Quetta-Citadel-Journal

http://www.scribd.com/doc/23150027/Pakistan-Army-through-eyes-of-Pakistani-Generals

http://www.scribd.com/doc/23701412/War-of-Independence-of-1857

http://www.scribd.com/doc/22457862/Pakistan-Army-Journal-The-Citadel

http://www.scribd.com/doc/21952758/1971-India-Pakistan-War

http://www.scribd.com/doc/25171703/BOOK-REVIEWS-BY-AGHA-H-AMIN

Friday, August 20, 2010

US AND EU LIES ABOUT FREE TRADE

Download the original attachment

EXCERPTS FROM Chapter 12 – Subsidies Free Trade Tariffs etc


See: DeGeorges, P.A.& Reilly, B.K. 2008. A critical evaluation of
conservation and development in Sub-Saharan Africa. The Edwin Mellen
Press: Lewiston, New York, NY, USA. 3,572p.


12.0 SUBSIDIES, FREE-TRADE, STRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENT AND DEBT RELIEF IN
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA - IMPACTS ON RESOURCE EXPLOITATION


12.2.4.1 Agricultural tariffs


The average import duties on farm products to the EU and America are
40-50% (Legum, 2002). According to the Commission for Africa (2005)


"Average applied tariffs in agriculture in the EU are 22%, and in the
U.S. 14%, some 3-4 times higher than in manufactured goods. There is
also substantial use of 'tariff peaks', or very high duties on
specific products. These affect over 40% of agriculture tariff lines
in the EU and Japan".


As an example, tariffs on peanuts coming into the U.S. are 132%
(Commission for Africa, 2005). The EU, paradoxically one of the
leading proponents of trade liberalization, has one of the most
protected agricultural sectors in the world through its Common
Agricultural Policy (CAP) (Sharma, 2002). For instance, canned fruit
going to the EU from South Africa has a tariff of 15-30%, while
tariffs as high as 30% are placed on apricots and other fruits going
to the U.S., weakening a fruit industry valued at Rand 1.5 billion
that is employing 27,000 people in South Africa (Moneyweb, 2005).
September 2003 WTO discussions in Cancun, Mexico, collapsed over
differences between the West and the developing world concerning
agricultural subsidies and protected uncompetitive markets, especially
by America and Europe, and at the beginning of 2008 show little or no
progress.


12.2.4.2 Agricultural subsidies


Annual subsidies amounting to US$ 300 billion to the Organization for
Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) agriculture are equal to
Sub-Saharan Africa's GDP (World Bank, 2000). The United Nations
Economic Commission for Africa (ECA) (2003) and Hassett and Shapiro
(2003) estimated in 2001, that developed countries paid their farmers
subsidies amounting to US$ 311 billion, as much as Sub-Saharan
Africa's entire economic output (Hassett & Shapiro, 2003). Similarly,
it is estimated that the total value of agricultural subsidies in
developed countries (OECD) is almost US$ 1 billion/day. Annually,
this is more than the GDP of Sub-Saharan Africa (Legum, 2002; Sharma,
2002; Guest, 2004; Commission for Africa, 2005) which was US$ 303.5
billion in 2002 (UNDP, 2004) and US$ 279 billion/year by 2005/6 – over
three times the value of global aid to developing countries
(Offenheiser, 2006). As subsidies continue to rise, the Commission
for Africa (2005) estimates agricultural subsidies in developed
countries amounted to US$ 350 billion in 2003.


"Of this, US$ 257 billion was support to producers and US$ 52 billion
was support to R&D,1 training, marketing and promotion. Most support
to producers is provided through market barriers that keep prices
artificially high – some US$ 160 billion – as opposed to the US$ 97
billion paid directly to producers. The EU, U.S., and Japan account
for 90% of total OECD support, and the bulk of this support is for
milk, meats, grains and sugar. This support is 16 times OECD aid to
Africa (US$ 22 billion in 2002)" (Commission for Africa, 2005).


UNDP (2004) estimates Official Development Assistance (ODA) to
Sub-Saharan Africa was US$ 17.2 billion in 2002 (see Chapter 11, Table
11.4, Official 2002 development assistance (ODA = foreign aid) as a
percentage of all investment inflows to Sub-Saharan).


The OECD has a method of measuring market protection in a given member
state called "Producer Subsidy Equivalent/Producer Support Estimate
(PSE)". PSE is


"a broadly defined Aggregate Measure of Support (AMS) to agriculture
that combines into one total value aggregate, direct payments to
producers financed by budgetary outlays (such as deficiency payments),
budgetary outlays for certain other programs assumed to provide
benefits to agriculture (such as research and inspection and
environmental programs), and the estimated value of revenue transfers
from consumers to producers as a result of policies that distort
market prices" (USDA, 2003) or "the monetary value of transfers
(direct and indirect) from consumers and taxpayers to producers"
(OECD, 2005).


Expressed as a percentage, the %PSE provides an indication of how much
of a farmer's earnings are from government support/interference, this
percentage being paid either directly or indirectly by government
and/or by increased costs to the consumer (e.g., in a protected
market).


"The %PSE, accounted for 32% of farm receipts, a slight increase from
2002, but down from 37% in 1986-88. The PSE in 2003 is estimated at
$US 257 billion, or EUR 229 billion…Support to producers in 2001-03
was below 5% of farm receipts in Australia and New Zealand, 20% or
less in Canada, Mexico, Poland, Slovakia, Turkey and the United
States, around 25% in the Czech Republic and Hungary, 35% in the
European Union (EU), and 60% or more in Iceland, Japan, Korea, Norway
and Switzerland" (OECD, 2004).


Similarly, "The EU is the largest protector of agriculture in the
world. The EU also accounts for 90% of OECD export subsides in
agriculture. Gross support from consumers and taxpayers to farmers
constitutes only 2% of farm receipts in New Zealand, but around 20% in
the U.S. and Canada, 35% in the EU, and 58% in Japan. Japan spends
1.4% of GDP on agricultural support, the EU 1.3%, and the US 0.9%"
(Commission for Africa, 2005),


these costs being passed on to the consumer through higher food costs
and taxes.

Percent PSE for key commodities in 2003 for the OECD as a whole
include: wheat/37%, maize/21%, rice/74%, sugar/56%, milk/49%, beef and
veal/35%, sheep/42% and all commodities/32% (OECD, 2004).


In 2004, the Total Support Estimate (TSE), an OECD indicator of the
annual monetary value of all gross transfers from taxpayers and
consumers arising from policy measures to agriculture in OECD
countries, amounted to about US$ 378 billion (EURO 305 billion), the
United States accounting for about US$ 109 billion (29%), the European
Union (EU) for about US$ 151 billion (40%), and Japan for a little
less than US$ 61 billion (16%). Of the US$ 378 billion, about US$ 280
billion was paid by OECD countries in support (Producer Support
Estimate) to farmers (leaving out general services [about US$ 65.8
billion] and consumer subsidies [about US$ 32.6 billion]), the U.S.
transferring US$ 46.5 billion, the EU - US$ 133.4 billion and Japan -
US$ 48.7 billion. These three were responsible for 85% of the TSE and
82% of the PSE in OECD countries. The level of producer support in
the OECD as a whole, as measured by the %PSE, is estimated at 30% in
2004, the same level as in 2003 (OECD, 2005).


In general, subsidies, tariffs and quotas increase costs to OECD
consumers, keep prices artificially elevated and result in flooding of
world markets dropping global commodity prices. While the OECD is
supposed to be helping Sub-Saharan Africa develop economically and
improve its agricultural production through foreign aid and technical
assistance, it is simultaneously creating commodity shocks through its
policies (Commission for Africa, 2005).


Subsidies lower global prices by encouraging over-production, some of
which, in the case of food, is dumped on poor developing countries
(see Chapter 11, Section 11.8, FOOD AID). "'These subsidies are
crippling Africa's chance to export its way out of poverty,'" said
James Wolfensohn, the World Bank president (Kristof, 2002). These
issues have to be addressed in the World Trade Organization (WTO).
There is increasing concern that subsidies should be removed in
developed countries (UNECA, 2003).


In July 2004, there appears to have been a breakthrough in WTO
negotiations to reopen free-trade talks known as the DOHA2 development
round, which would eliminate export subsidies and reduce domestic
subsidies, improving agricultural trade. The U.S. will "fast track"
cotton subsidies (Schlein, 2004). According to Bello and Kwa (2004),
the African cotton producing countries failed to get the U.S. cotton
subsidies fast tracked or a commitment to have them eliminated.
According to SouthAfrica.info (2004), the July, 2004 WTO agreement
will result in the West opening its markets to African agricultural
products in return for Africa cutting duties on industrial goods.


"The EU, the United States and countries such as Japan and Switzerland
set greater access to markets for industrial goods in developing
countries as the price for farm subsidy cuts" (Waddington & Lannin,
2004).


Are we not back to square one; Africa continuing to export raw
products and import transformed ones? It also appears that the
reduction in export subsidies would not be before 2015-2017 (Global
South, 2004). A specific end-date to export subsidies will only be
achieved in the next round of negotiations (Bello & Kwa, 2004). In
early 2008, these issues have still not been resolved.


Europe's Agricultural Subsidies


Subsidies amount to about US$ 17,000/year for each EU farmer (Legum, 2002).


Pascal Lamy, the French E.U. Trade Commissioner, explained (Legum,
2002), " 'The EU has taken a deliberate decision to keep its farmers
on the land, whether or not they are internationally competitive…If we
are fully competitive, employment in the farm sector will drop from 7
million farmers to just one million. This is politically
unacceptable.' "


As in the United States, according to IFPRI (2003), the biggest 25% of
EU subsidy recipients receive more than 60% of all subsidies. The
question is whether market rules should apply to everything.
Important to EU decision-makers is rural life, landscape and
environment. These justify the continuation of its costly and
inefficient farming strategy (Roman, 2003).


Africa is particularly vulnerable to EU farm subsidies because
proximity and decades of colonial and post-colonial relations make
Europe and Africa efficient trading partners. As the result of the
Common Agricultural Policy (CAP), while the average person in
Sub-Saharan Africa earns less than US$ 1/day, a European Cow earns US$
2/day as a result of subsidies (OXFAM, 2002b; Hassett & Shapiro, 2003
& Commission for Africa, 2005). A growing volume of literature argues
that the largest factors stunting African economic development include
not only disease, drought, warfare and mismanagement, but also the
European Union (EU)'s Common Agricultural Policy (CAP). These
subsidies reward European farms to produce more, while dumping this
excess in the Third World, depressing world food prices, while putting
protective tariffs on food exported from Africa (OXFAM, 2002b; Hassett
& Shapiro, 2003). Tariff peaks still persist in several products
(e.g., sugar, meat and horticultural products) and tariff escalation
(higher tariff on more processed products which are given greater
protection to the processing industry of the importing country) still
prevails in several important product chains (e.g. coffee, cocoa,
oilseeds, vegetable, fruit and nuts, and hides and skins) (NEPAD,
2002).


Currently, the CAP consumes 40 billion Euros annually, about half of
the EU budget. The CAP sets price guarantees far higher than world
prices or production costs. To assure that they are not under-cut
abroad, European farmers, like U.S. farmers, receive hefty export
subsidies to add to their domestic profits. Politicians seeking
election then call on their "partners" for financial support. Thus,
large agribusinesses thrive on government largess at the expense of
the world's most vulnerable people. This injustice is maintained
because politicians receive their share of the profits (OXFAM, 2002b;
Hassett & Shapiro, 2003).


Population density, weather and the cost of capital and labor make the
EU an inefficient dairy producer, cost of production being on average
twice as high as international prices. Yet Europe accounts for 40% of
the world's exports of whole milk powder and 33% of world cheese
exports. Europeans may think that these subsidies go to quaint dairy
farms dotting the French and Dutch countryside, but in reality, most
of these subsidies go to multi-national agribusinesses such as Aria
Foods and Nestlé (Hassett & Shapiro, 2003).


EU subsidies for sugar have an even worse impact on the tropics,
including Africa. Sugar cane farmers in the tropics can produce more
than twice as much as rivals in cooler climates growing sugar beets.
In addition, land prices, wages and other production factors in
tropical countries are a small fraction of what they are in the
European countries. Yet the EU, with the world's highest sugar
production costs, is the world's largest sugar exporter. EU farmers
receive guaranteed prices for sugar even if it sells overseas at a
lesser price, while in Europe sugar is sold at high prices. CAP
tariffs of 140% keep foreign sugar off the EU market. Single large
firms account for the entire domestic production for sales and
production in at least eight European countries, with little or no
impact on the small producer. Meanwhile, price guarantees and export
subsidies enable EU producers, some as far north as Finland, to claim
a significant share of the sugar market, even in tropical Africa.
Joseph Daul, chairman of the EU parliament's agriculture and rural
development committee, which must approve any sugar subsidy reform, is
himself a major French sugar beet farmer (Hassett & Shapiro, 2003).


Due to subsidies, Europe is the world's largest exporter of white
sugar, pushing more efficient producers in countries such as Malawi
and Zambia out of regional markets. The same CAP restricts the entry
of African sugar into EU markets. Mozambique, where 70% of the rural
population lives below the poverty line, loses US$ 100 million a year
from EU subsidies. Like the U.S., the EU uses Africa as a dumping
ground for surpluses. Everything from milk to wheat is sold at
"giveaway" prices, destroying the markets on which small farmers
depend. By undermining local self-reliance, dumping, linked to
subsidies by rich countries in Africa, is helping to create conditions
for famine. In February 2003 at a summit of African leaders in Paris,
President Chirac called for a moratorium on agricultural dumping in
Africa (Palmer & Kline, 2003).


In 2004, challenged by Brazil, the WTO ruled that the EU is violating
its commitments to the WTO by exporting up to 4 times more subsidized
sugar onto world markets than is allowed (OXFAM, 2004b)


A recent study by the Institute of Economic Affairs in Britain
estimates that EU agricultural policies have reduced African exports
of:


Milk by 90%;
Livestock by 70%;
Meat by 60%;
Non-grain crops by 60%; and
Grains by 40%.


They estimate that the CAP reduces Africa's potential export of
agricultural products by half (50%). They estimate that without the
CAP, the current US$ 10.9 billion in annual food related exports from
Sub-Saharan Africa (excluding South Africa) could grow to nearly US$
22 billion/year. The Washington-based Food Policy Research Institute
(IFPRI) found in Sub-Saharan Africa that every US$ 1 in agricultural
income produces US$ 1.42 in GDP3. Getting rid of CAP could raise the
GDP by US$ 26.4 billion/year, increasing annual per capita incomes by
13% on the subcontinent (Hassett & Shapiro, 2003).


Agricultural Subsidies and Support in Europe and U.S. to Large, Not
Small Farmers


The general trend, as noted in Europe but also in the U.S., is for
subsidies and support to go mostly to the largest farmers, often
corporate farms, not the small farmer. The Commission for Africa
(2005) estimates that


"only 4% of EU support goes to 25% of the smallest farms, roughly the
same in the U.S. with the largest 25% of the farms receiving over 70%
of the support, reaching 80% in the U.S…It is estimated that a move to
free-trade in sugar would raise world prices by something close to
40%, and could generate around US$ 4.7 billion in welfare gains for
the developing countries".


According to IFPRI (2003), in the U.S. 60% of farmers get no support
at all, while the biggest 7% account for 50% of government payments.
Large corporate farms, making up 17% of the farms given subsidies,
received 56% of total subsidy payments (Redline & Kline, 2007).


12.2.4.3 Tanzania and U.S./EU farm subsidies


"Northern import restrictions and production subsidies help to explain
two features of the world agricultural trading system left intact
under globalization: slow growth and continued domination by
industrialized countries" (IFPRI, 2003).


Strolling around supermarkets in Dar es Salaam, it is easier to find
boxes of orange juice from Dubai, lines of canned beef from the UK and
butter and cheese from as far away as New Zealand than it is to find
local produce. Because of these subsidies, Shoprite (a South African
supermarket in Tanzania) will find it easier to import something than
to buy it locally. According to UN figures, approximately five
million people are involved in cotton production in Tanzania, but for
the last few years, the industry has remained idle because of heavy
cotton subsidies (50%) in the United States. If the prices are bad,
the private sector will not buy from the farmer. This has resulted in
two or three successive years of the cotton being left in the fields
without being bought, greatly affecting the farmers' livelihoods.
Removing subsidies in the U.S. or the European Union (EU) is not a
question of making people richer, but rather improving the living
standards of rural populations, which account for some 85% of
Tanzania's 31 million people and 350 million people across Sub-Saharan
Africa. The impact of subsidies is far bigger than the small amount
of foreign aid that this country is receiving. If people are going to
talk about sustainable development, then they should get rid of
subsidies (United Nations, 2002).


Cotton subsidies and protected markets


Africa's Comparative Advantage in Growing Cotton


Two advantages Africa has over the rest of the World for growing
cotton are long growing seasons and low humidity. Cotton requires at
least 200 days of relatively high temperatures. Temperatures below
20° C inhibit plant growth, especially during flowering and maturation
of the boll. It grows best when the average temperature is 25° C.
Cotton is drought tolerant and can grow well even in areas with
rainfall under 500 mm/year, though higher rainfalls are preferred to
assure economic yields of fiber. On the other hand, high humidity
during maturation and the pre-harvesting period may result in the
bolls rotting (Theron, 1977).

The downside is that cotton takes up tremendous amounts of nutrients
in the soils, requiring mitigation by crop rotation with leguminous
plants to replace nitrogen and control nematodes, and fertilizer
additions based on laboratory testing of soils (Table 12.1)….


U.S. Cotton Subsidies and Africa, Cultivating Poverty


As a result of the U.S. Farm Bill of 2002,


"the resulting loss of cotton exports amounts to 3% of the total
economic output of Mali and Benin, the IMF said, and 1% to 2% for
Burkina Faso and Chad. The damage exceeds the total value of the
relief provided to those countries under a global debt relief
initiative financed by wealthy nations and administered by the World
Bank" (Vieth, 2002).


On the other hand,


"the World Bank estimates that the removal of protection and support
in the cotton sector would increase prices by 13% over the next 10
years and world trade in cotton by 6%. Africa's cotton exports would
increase by 13%" (ILO, 2004).


There are 11 countries in Africa where cotton accounts for more than
one-quarter (25%) of the export revenue, rising to one-half (50%) for
Benin and two-thirds (67%) for Burkina Faso. These exports are a vital
source of foreign exchange, financing essential imports such as food,
fuel and new technologies. They also underpin government revenues,
providing the funds needed to invest in health and education. A study
of Sub-Saharan Africa carried out by the World Health Organization,
found that households growing cotton and maize had better nutrition
and higher income than households growing maize alone. Production was
given a major boost by CFA devaluation in 1994, a move that enhanced
export competitiveness and increased local prices. However, health
risks and environmental pollution, caused by high pesticide and
fertilizer use, have been overlooked. There are also inherent dangers
in reinforcing dependence on a single crop, for which global markets
are highly volatile (OXFAM, 2002a)…

In 2001/2002, America's 25,000 cotton farmers received $3.4 billion a
year in subsidies, double the level in 1992 (OXFAM, 2002a; IFPRI,
2003; Palmer & Kline, 2003) for a crop valued at only US$ 3 billion
(Hayes, 2004). This increase in subsidies is a breach of the "Peace
Clause"4 in the WTO Agreement on Agriculture (OXFAM, 2002a). Under
the 2002 U.S. Farm Bill, cotton farmers will receive a guaranteed
price of around US$ 1.14/kg (52 cents per pound), regardless of what
happens to world market prices (which are currently 19% below that
level). In addition, farmers will receive a further set of payments to
top up their income to a target price level. The result will be that
they will receive a price some 73% above world market levels (OXFAM,
2002a).


The nearly US$ 4 billion (OXFAM, 2002a) to US$ 3-4 billion (Kousari,
2004) in subsidies received by 25,000 of America's cotton farmers in
2001/2002 year is:


Greater than the GNP (GNI) 5 of many Sub-Saharan African countries
(OXFAM, 2002A).
More in subsidies than the entire GDP of Burkina Faso – a country in
which more than two million people depend on cotton production. Over
half of these farmers live below the poverty line. Poverty levels
among recipients of cotton subsidies in the US are zero (OXFAM,
2002a).
Negative to Mali, which received US$ 37 million in foreign aid from
USAID in 2001, but lost US$ 42 million due to U.S./EU cotton subsidies
(OXFAM, 2002a). Mali is Africa's largest cotton producer, with an
output of 600,000 tons in 2003, yet without a textile industry,
processes only 1% of its cotton consumption. Millions of Malian
farmers with 2 ha (5 acres) of cotton live on less than US$ 1/day,
while American farmers average about 405 ha (1,000 acres) (Dizolele,
2004).
Three times more in subsidies than the entire USAID budget for
Sub-Saharan Africa's 500 million people (OXFAM, 2002a; Palmer & Kline,
2003; OXFAM 2004c). Note – latest African population – 622-650
million in 2000 (see Chapter 5, Section 5.9, OVER-POPULATION, SOIL
DEGRADATION AND DECLINING AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY).


The World Economic Forum (2004) estimates that cotton subsidies by the
West shave about 10% from cotton prices, depriving poor African
farmers of valuable income.


"Removal of U.S. and EU cotton support is estimated to increase
Sub-Saharan Africa cotton exports by 75%. African farmers are much
more competitive than their U.S. and EU counterparts, producing a
pound of cotton for 21 cents in Burkina Faso, compared with 73 cents
in the U.S". (Commission for Africa, 2005).


OECD cotton subsidies negatively impact an estimated 10-11 million
small farmers in West Africa (IFPRI, 2003; Kousari, 2004; Commission
for Africa, 2005).


These subsidies create a huge disadvantage for resource-poor African
farmers and a parallel unfair advantage for their American
counterparts. By driving down prices, U.S. taxpayers and their
European counterparts in other product groups, bear a direct
responsibility for poverty in Africa (OXFAM, 2002a). For instance, in
Benin where cotton accounts for 7% of GDP and 40% of exports, a
percentage point increase in world cotton prices from reduced
subsidies would reduce poverty by 1.5 percentage points (World
Economic Forum, 2004). A 25% increase in the world price of cotton,
roughly corresponding to the effect of the elimination of U.S.
subsidies, would cause the national incidence of poverty in Benin to
decline by 4% (IFPRI, 2003 & Kousari, 2004), enabling 250,000 people
to rise above the poverty line (IFPRI, 2003).


The USA is not the only country subsidizing cotton. "The EU provides
up to US$ 1 billion in support to EU cotton production" (Commission
for Africa, 2005).


While there are a large number of countries producing cotton, just
four – China, the U.S., India and Pakistan, in descending order –
account for 67% (two-thirds) of total production. Most cotton is
consumed in the country that produces it. The major exception to this
rule is the United States. In a typical year, more than half of U.S.
cotton is exported. Over the longer-term, subsidies have enabled the
U.S. to expand its share of world cotton production (on a linear trend
basis) from around 16% at the start of the 1990s to over 20% at the
end of the decade. The upshot is that the U.S. is, by some margin, the
world's largest exporter of cotton (OXFAM, 2002a).


Because the U.S. is the world's largest exporter of cotton (OXFAM,
2002a; Palmer & Kline, 2003), accounting for 40% of the world market
(IFPRI, 2003), these subsidies push down world prices, which have
fallen by half since the mid-1990s (OXFAM, 2002a; Palmer & Kline,
2003). Adjusted for inflation, average prices for cotton are lower
than at any time since the Great Depression of the 1930s, at just
under US$ 0.88/kg (US$ 0.40/pound) in 2001/2002 versus a high of just
over US$ 1.98 /kg (US$ 0.90 cents/pound) in 1995/96 (OXFAM, 2002a).
OXFAM (2004c) estimates that U.S. dumping created losses of almost
$400 million for poor cotton-producing African countries between 2001
and 2003. The Commission for Africa (2005) estimates that


"U.S. support to its cotton farmers was $US 3.9 billion in 2002,
driving down world prices by 10-20%, with annual income losses in West
African cotton producing countries estimated at $US 250 million. This
support is expected to stay at these levels for the next 6 years,
ensuring that U.S. farmers get twice the current world price for
cotton".


Offenheiser (2006) estimates a loss of US$ 200 million/year in income
to ten million West African farmers due to US$ 4 billion/year in U.S.
government subsidies going to the 25,000 American cotton farmers.
Basically, exports are going up, but countries are earning less.


12.2.4.5 Sub-Saharan Africa marine fisheries and EU subsidies


"For African LDCs seafood exports are worth $US 570 million - Senegal
28%, Tanzania 19%, Mozambique 12%, Uganda 11% Angola 6%...Seafood
exports have grown in importance in Africa in recent years, with
exports in SADC quadrupling to $US 892 million between 1998 and 2001.
By that date, African exports to the EU had reached $US 1.75 billion.
Yet the EU subsidizes this sector heavily, at around $US 1 billion
annually: $US 280 million of which supports 850 vessels to fish
outside EU waters. When coupled with highly onerous and perversely
worded rules of origin, African exports to the EU are even further
undermined. Fishing agreements that allow European boats to fish
African waters are often badly negotiated. They only return around $US
0.8 billion in royalties, and EU tuna boats in five West African
states pay less than 1% of the value of the catch to these governments
(a governance problem). Transparent and competitive tendering,
including more organized action at the regional level, could go some
way to ensuring Africa gains from the contracts it offers. At the same
time, the subsidized EU fleets have superior equipment, which means
they can catch far more than the African boats" (Commission for
Africa, 2005).6


13.13.6.3 Other agreements


The EU Cotonou Agreement for African Caribbean and Pacific (ACP)


"is a very open scheme, with enhanced preferences beyond those in
the GSP scheme, and with protocols for bananas, beef, veal and sugar.
This incorporates all of SSA excluding South Africa" (Commission for
Africa 2005).


Under the Cotonou Agreement products covered by the Common
Agricultural Policy (CAP) still face customs duties.


The EU's "Everything but Arms (EBA)" (Regulation (EC) 416/2001,
February 2001) initiative of duty-free and quota-free entry for all
products (except arms) for LDCs includes 34 African countries.
Although access to the EU markets for agricultural products may no
longer be a major problem for African LDCs, a number of factors may
impede African preferential access. This includes rules of origin and
standards such as sanitary/phytosanitary requirements and other
technical barriers to trade (NEPAD, 2002).


"Only imports of fresh bananas, rice and sugar are not fully
liberalized immediately. Duties on those products will be gradually
reduced until duty free access will be granted for bananas in January
2006, for sugar in July 2009 and for rice in September 2009. In the
meantime, there will be duty free tariff quotas for rice and sugar
(see the latest regulations for sugar quotas No 1381/2002 and rice
quotas 1401/2002 in the list of legislation). The EBA Regulation
foresees that the special arrangements for LDC's should be maintained
for an unlimited period of time and not be subject to the periodic
renewal of the Community's scheme of generalized preferences.
Therefore, the date of expiry of Council Regulation (EC) No 2501/2001
does not apply to its EBA provisions" (EU, 2004).


The tariff on bananas will be reduced 20%/year between January 1, 2002
and January 1, 2006, with the 2002 quota being 544 EUR/1,000 kg (i.e.
80% of the Most Favored Nation (MFN) duty of 680 EUR/1,000 kg).
Customs duty for rice will see the tariff reduced to zero between
September 1, 2006 and September 1, 2009. In the interim, rice can
come in duty free under a tariff quota, growing 15%/year between
2001/2002 and 2008/2009 respectively, from 2,517 tons to 6,696 tons.
Full trade liberalization of sugar will be phased in between July 1,
2006 and July 1, 2009, gradually reducing the full EU tariff to zero.
In the meantime, sugar can come in duty free within the limits of a
tariff quota, from 74,185 tons in 2001/2 to 197,335 ton in 2008/9
(Table 13.11) (UN, 2002).


Table 13.11: Summary of the European Union "Everything but Arms
(EBA)" initiative
Pre-EBA EBA
Product Coverage All GSP covered products
Additional list of products for LDCs only
Certain sensitive agricultural products excluded
All products but arms (HS Ch 93)
Depth of Tariff Cut Duty-free for all GSP covered products
For the additional list of products, different tariff cuts available
according to the import sensitivity of products (four products
categories)
No preferences on the specific component of MFN duties, on entry
price, on the agricultural component and on other duties
Duty-free for all products
All duties entirely
Delayed (phased-in period). Trade liberalization for bananas, sugar & rice

Rules of Origin Regulation 1602/2000 Regulation 1602/2000 but ACP LDCs
moving into EBA may lose ACP
Source: UN (2002) with permission, UN.


"In 2003 Canada expanded its GSP scheme to cover substantially all
products from LDCs, including textiles and clothing, with the
exception of a limited number of products (eggs, poultry and dairy),
along with liberal rules of origin. In 2000 and 2003, Japan has
progressively expanded the number of industrial and agricultural
products from LDCs receiving duty-free access. This covers 31 SSA LDCs
except for Djibouti and Comoros" (Commission for Africa, 2005).


Stiglitz (2002) believes this is a start, but still puts developing
countries at a competitive disadvantage due to competing with EU
agricultural subsidies (see Chapter 12, Section 12.2.4, Agricultural
Tariffs and Subsidies). Modeled benefits to Sub-Saharan Africa from
liberalizing OECD agricultural markets show losses to Sub-Saharan and
southern Africa when partial trade liberalization is carried out
largely due to the impact of preference erosion, with many African
countries being major beneficiaries of existing preferential trading
arrangements (e.g., beef from southern Africa and sugar from Mauritius
under the Lomé Convention). The gains from full liberalization
increase from US$ 704 million in the static model to US$ 4.3 billion
in the dynamic model, associated with the impact of capital
accumulation. This indicates the importance of complementing trade
liberalization with investment (FDI) enhancing policies. However, it
was found that the reforms may force countries to specialize more in
the production of agricultural commodities, indicating the urgency of
adopting policies to promote export diversification out of primary
commodities and into industrial and service industries with a higher
value-added (UNECA,7 2004). Relying on primary commodities, as
discussed in Chapters 5 and 12, indicates that


"price volatility, arising mainly from supply shocks and the secular
decline in real commodity prices, and the attendant terms-of-trade
losses have exacted heavy costs in terms of incomes, indebtedness,
investment, poverty and development" (UNECA, 2004).


--
Man would indeed be in a poor way if he had to be restrained by fear
of punishment and hope of reward after death." --
Albert Einstein !!!

http://www.scribd.com/doc/22151765/History-of-Pakistan-Army-from-1757-to-1971

http://www.scribd.com/doc/21693873/Indo-Pak-Wars-1947-71-A-STRATEGIC-AND-OPERATIONAL-ANALYSIS-BY-A-H-AMIN

http://www.scribd.com/doc/21686885/TALIBAN-WAR-IN-AFGHANISTAN

http://www.scribd.com/doc/22455178/Letters-to-Command-and-Staff-College-Quetta-Citadel-Journal

http://www.scribd.com/doc/23150027/Pakistan-Army-through-eyes-of-Pakistani-Generals

http://www.scribd.com/doc/23701412/War-of-Independence-of-1857

http://www.scribd.com/doc/22457862/Pakistan-Army-Journal-The-Citadel

http://www.scribd.com/doc/21952758/1971-India-Pakistan-War

http://www.scribd.com/doc/25171703/BOOK-REVIEWS-BY-AGHA-H-AMIN

Tuesday, August 17, 2010

70 to 90 PERCENT OF US AID GOES TO BELTWAY BANDITS

In projects I worked on with USAID - 70-90% (a commonly known
statistic) of the money went back to Beltway Bandits (consulting
firms), NGOs and American manufacturers (Buy America policy) leaving
behind burned out Land cruisers & paper reports - but little or no
"Development or Self-Sustaining Economies, nor lifting people from
poverty into the Middleclass - and it was never meant to. Foreign aid
has little or nothing to do with development, It is good business for
host country Beltway Bandits & consulting firms as noted, and for
donor country manufacturers in America, Germany or wherever the donor
comes from. Idi will remember us having to use very dangerous
Chevrolet Blazers in really bad back roads - so dangerous that
eventually we were able to purchase Land cruisers locally. Foreign
aid is also used to provide "Learn to Love America/Germany/donor trips
for political elites, fund workshop after workshop - per diem trips
for many functionaries making more going to workshops than they earn
as government workers - I have seen instances of a
functionaire/bureaucrat being on per diem trips more than in his
office doing government work - becomes a way of earning a living and
makes him very open to being manipulated by donor politics - such as
creating more parks/exclusion zones, shutting down hunting, allowing
mining, petroleum or logging companies to come in take out a lot and
pay very little - etc.. It is also used to buy allegiance and create
dependency - not economies - to assure the vote of the host country in
the UN, allowing foreign military forces to operate within its
boundaries (e.g., French, British & Americans in Africa) or to keep
others out (when I lived in Senegal - there were virtually no Russians
- lots of French & Americans - one Aeroflot flight a month into Dakar
to exchange commercial fishing fleets - that I also believe a % served
as spy vessels - from personal experience - but that is another story
for another day). Yes there are some good sides to foreign aid - some
people are sent abroad to study - but then there is Cherry Picking -
where the best and brightest are allowed to stay in the donor country
if they wish - the "Brain Drain" - Today one in three (33%) African
university graduates works abroad, many educated with Western donor
funding. There are approximately 640,000 African professionals in the
U.S., with over 360,000 having PhDs. Southern Africa knows how Great
Britain lets their countries train nurses and then steal them away
with big salaries. Foreign aid may also provide a few boreholes, some
health inputs - but I have not seen foreign aid generate sustainable
economies - as Idi says - "trade not aid" is needed and not in raw but
in transformed products so Africa gets "Added Value" - and so far
except in South Africa, some in Namibia and in the past in Zimbabwe -
I have not seen much of this happening.

Regards

Andre

--
Man would indeed be in a poor way if he had to be restrained by fear
of punishment and hope of reward after death." --
Albert Einstein !!!

http://www.scribd.com/doc/22151765/History-of-Pakistan-Army-from-1757-to-1971

http://www.scribd.com/doc/21693873/Indo-Pak-Wars-1947-71-A-STRATEGIC-AND-OPERATIONAL-ANALYSIS-BY-A-H-AMIN

http://www.scribd.com/doc/21686885/TALIBAN-WAR-IN-AFGHANISTAN

http://www.scribd.com/doc/22455178/Letters-to-Command-and-Staff-College-Quetta-Citadel-Journal

http://www.scribd.com/doc/23150027/Pakistan-Army-through-eyes-of-Pakistani-Generals

http://www.scribd.com/doc/23701412/War-of-Independence-of-1857

http://www.scribd.com/doc/22457862/Pakistan-Army-Journal-The-Citadel

http://www.scribd.com/doc/21952758/1971-India-Pakistan-War

http://www.scribd.com/doc/25171703/BOOK-REVIEWS-BY-AGHA-H-AMIN

Admiral Lord West Warns of Cyber Terrorist Attacks: 'We Haven't Done Enough'

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>
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> Admiral Lord West of Spithead, former Parliamentary Under-Secretary of State
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--
Man would indeed be in a poor way if he had to be restrained by fear
of punishment and hope of reward after death." --
Albert Einstein !!!

http://www.scribd.com/doc/22151765/History-of-Pakistan-Army-from-1757-to-1971

http://www.scribd.com/doc/21693873/Indo-Pak-Wars-1947-71-A-STRATEGIC-AND-OPERATIONAL-ANALYSIS-BY-A-H-AMIN

http://www.scribd.com/doc/21686885/TALIBAN-WAR-IN-AFGHANISTAN

http://www.scribd.com/doc/22455178/Letters-to-Command-and-Staff-College-Quetta-Citadel-Journal

http://www.scribd.com/doc/23150027/Pakistan-Army-through-eyes-of-Pakistani-Generals

http://www.scribd.com/doc/23701412/War-of-Independence-of-1857

http://www.scribd.com/doc/22457862/Pakistan-Army-Journal-The-Citadel

http://www.scribd.com/doc/21952758/1971-India-Pakistan-War

http://www.scribd.com/doc/25171703/BOOK-REVIEWS-BY-AGHA-H-AMIN

Sunday, August 15, 2010

Some Reflections on 1971-A Different Perspective

Some Reflections on 1971
A Different Perspective

A.H Amin

February 2001

 

Even a school child in today's Pakistan condemns the army, General Yahya and Mr Bhutto for  the 1971 fiasco. This has become fashionable. The recent declassification of the Hamood ur Rahman Commission Report has added fuel to fire.

This brief article is an attempt to see things in a different perspective. It is neither a defence of the army nor of any individual but an attempt to see things as they were.

Pakistan as it was till 1971 was not  a geographically coherent state. Its defence was the strategist's nightmare. Even drafting its constitution keeping in view its ethnic and cultural makeup was a politician's nightmare! The politicians of the first decade must, however, be commended for creating a constitution in 1956! This constitution was, however, not allowed to be implemented by the civil-military clique who took power in 1958. Once the Ayub dictatorship  finally overthrown in 1969 the army once again was forced to set the house in order. No one in today's Pakistan realizes that the Army under General Yahya successfully held the first general election of Pakistan in just one year while Pakistan's first elected prime minister had failed to do the same in four years!

The alienation of East Pakistanis was not a suddenly mechanical knee jerk reaction that started with the enforcement of Pakistan's second martial law in 1969. It started right from 1948 over the language question and successively intensified after the army under Generals Iskandar Mirza and Ayub usurped power in 1958. The process gained the momentum of an invincible avalanche by 1971.

Even dispassionate observers agree that in 1971 the East Pakistanis wanted complete autonomy and adoption of the Six Point Programme of Sheikh Mujeeb which would have led in any case to Pakistan's political disintegration. It was in these circumstances that the Pakistan Army intervened in March 1971. Even a hostile observer like an Indian military historian admitted that 'Mujib's Six Points would have meant a virtual dismemberment of Pakistan'.1

General Yahya who led Pakistan in the dual capacity of political and military chief had three broad options after the bloody military crackdown in East Pakistan in March-April 1971; i.e (1) arrive at a political compromise with the East Pakistani political leadership (2)  start a pre-emptive war by attacking India in response to Indian active military aid to the Bengali rebels before the Himalayan snowfall blocked the passes thus closing any chances of Chinese intervention (3)  merely save West Pakistan.

Yahya attempted  to do the first but failed because of various reasons including determined Indian attempts to sabotage any attempt at arriving at a political settlement, delayed initiation of the process of political rapprochement and bitter feelings created in the East Wing as a result of excesses committed by the army.

The second option was not exercised since the US leadership lulled Yahya into a false sense of security into thinking that India would not start an all out war. Pakistan's only sincere friend and ally China warned Pakistan and repeatedly asked its leadership to arrive at a political solution.

It will be worthwhile to quote an Indian military observer at this point. Brigadier Jagdev Singh thus wrote 'Yahya showed a good sense in taking decisions and his command decisions were generally well deliberated upon and sound. He had been thrown into a rotten situation which had come into being the day Pakistan with its two wings was born; it was a  totally unnatural alliance..but Yahya faced the situation with tact and intelligence, and made a damn good try to keep the Eastern Wing within Pakistan'.2

In Pakistan the military crackdown of March 1971 is much criticized. Even an Indian admitted that 'the only course open was to hold on to the military rule and restore the law and order, if necessary by force'.3

Once the war finally started in 1971 Yahya had two options. Start a counter-offensive from day one in an attempt to reduce Indian pressure against East Pakistan or to save West Pakistan from being overrun by the Indians in phase two after the Indians had captured East Pakistan.

The main criticism against Yahya has been that he did not start a counter offensive  immediately after the war started. First of all we will discuss why this may have happened and what would have happened in case Pakistan had started an all out offensive from day one on the Western Front.

All Indian accounts  prove that by November 1971 the Indian Army opposite West Pakistan was well poised to meet any Pakistani attack on the Western Front. Had Pakistan's main strike force the 1st Armoured Division been launched it could not have gone beyond ten or twenty miles since the Indian 1st Armoured Division was concentrated opposite it in Muktesar-Ganganagar area. Thus an attack by the 1st Armoured Division would not have relieved the Indian pressure on the Eastern Front and Eastern Command's chances of surviving as a credible military entity were bleak.

The Indians were well prepared to meet Pakistan's Northern Strategic Reserve i.e the 6 Armoured Division/17 Division in the Shakargarh Bulge and any attack by this formation could not have possibly influenced the war in the Eastern Theatre.

Later the Pakistani High Command was much criticized for having been led by drunkards who did not launch an offensive in 1971. If we keep the above background in mind any sane and dispassionate reader would agree that it was not the question of being drunk or not drunk but a simple strategic reality that a counter-offensive launched by Pakistan Army in December 1971 could not have saved the Eastern Commander from the ignominy of surrender.

Long ago Carl Von Clausewitz beautifully summed up Yahya Khan's dilemma once he said 'There are two considerations which as motives may practically take the place of inability to continue the contest. The first is the improbable, the second is the excessive price of success'! 4

Did Pakistan Army had the ability to continue an unnecessary contest defending an area whose people were irrevocably alienated. The price of success which was impossible in any case in December 1971 was excessive! It later became fashionable in Pakistan with the benefit of hindsight to criticize Yahya alone as the principal culprit of 1971.

It goes to Pakistan Army's credit that they saved West Pakistan without committing its strategic reserves ! Today this fact is not understood at all! If the Bengalis got their independence in 1971, the West Pakistani Muslims were saved from Indian slavery through the ceasefire of 1971! Today with a nuclear capability the Indians will have to think 1000 times before attacking Pakistan! Today we forget that by swallowing the bitter pill of defeat in 1971 our elders saved us to be able to fight in a better manner in future !

The men who died in 1971 gave their lives so that the future generations may have a better tomorrow. The Hamood ur Rahman Commission Report was unfortunately drafted with the help of some retired military windbags who could do anything for a 'crate of Whiskey'!

 Bhutto or Yahya were no angels but so was Mujeeb! These men, all of them acted rightly in their own manner, none was an angel as I earlier said but none was great a villain as he is today made out to be. Yahya is still remembered by those officers and soldiers who saw him. Mujeeb, whatever we may say was the founder of a nation. Bhutto whatever anyone may say was a great man who did many things which made Pakistan stronger than it was in 1971!

What more can I say but repeat that excellent verse 'Never set a squadron in the field, nor knew the division of battle, more than a spinster'!

1Page-44- Dismemberment of Pakistan-1971-Indo Pak War- Brigadier Jagdev Singh-Lancer International - New Delhi-1988.

2 Ibid.

3Ibid.

4Page-125-On War- Carl Von Clausewitz-Edited by Anatol Rapport-Penguin Books -London-1974-Reprinted by National Book Foundation and distributed in the Pakistan Army during Mr Bhutto's Prime Ministership by the National Book Foundation in all units/libraries  of Pakistan Army in 1975-76.


--
Man would indeed be in a poor way if he had to be restrained by fear of punishment and hope of reward after death."  --
Albert Einstein !!!

http://www.scribd.com/doc/22151765/History-of-Pakistan-Army-from-1757-to-1971

http://www.scribd.com/doc/21693873/Indo-Pak-Wars-1947-71-A-STRATEGIC-AND-OPERATIONAL-ANALYSIS-BY-A-H-AMIN

http://www.scribd.com/doc/21686885/TALIBAN-WAR-IN-AFGHANISTAN

http://www.scribd.com/doc/22455178/Letters-to-Command-and-Staff-College-Quetta-Citadel-Journal

http://www.scribd.com/doc/23150027/Pakistan-Army-through-eyes-of-Pakistani-Generals

http://www.scribd.com/doc/23701412/War-of-Independence-of-1857

http://www.scribd.com/doc/22457862/Pakistan-Army-Journal-The-Citadel

http://www.scribd.com/doc/21952758/1971-India-Pakistan-War

http://www.scribd.com/doc/25171703/BOOK-REVIEWS-BY-AGHA-H-AMIN

Saturday, August 14, 2010

The Comeback Kid




Rebel Newsflash: The Comeback Kid (plus 18 more items)

Link to Opinion

The Comeback Kid

Posted: 09 Aug 2010 12:44 AM PDT

Fidel Castro has made a career of returning from the brink of disaster.

In 1956, when his band of seasick comrades landed in Cuba, half of them were killed immediately.

Why the 9-11 Trial is Being Blocked

Posted: 09 Aug 2010 12:29 AM PDT

Nine years after 9-11, the U.S. government is letting the so-called "mastermind" of 9-11 languish in "legal limbo" in Guantanamo.  Why would they do that?   If they have a case against the man they claim to be Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, why don't they make it?  What are they waiting for?  Why is this criminal process being obstructed, just like the 9-11 tort litigation in the court of Alvin K. Hellerstein?  Who does Attorney General Eric Himpton Holder really represent?

Lebanon's 'hot summer'

Posted: 08 Aug 2010 10:45 PM PDT

"So do I need to worry about this incident in the south?" My friend, Nicole Saad, asked via text message from the US a few hours after the Lebanese and Israeli armies clashed near the border between the two countries on Tuesday. The clashes left two Lebanese soldiers, one Lebanese journalist and one Israeli soldier dead.

Nicole is looking forward to her decade-long overdue visit to her native country on August 6, and like many prospective visitors is now highly concerned about the security situation in Lebanon - particularly as countries like Canada, the US and the UK have issued travel warnings.

Chapter 5 of 200 Years Together: "After the Murder of Alexander II"

Posted: 08 Aug 2010 04:50 PM PDT

Solzhenitsyn's Chapter 5 ("After the Murder of Alexander II") recounts the important period after the assassination of Tsar Alexandar II in 1881. (See here. Donations for the translators are much needed.) The assassination inaugurated a period of anti-Jewish pogroms, restrictions on Jews, and an upsurge of Jewish involvement in revolutionary activities. Solzhenitsyn's treatment is highly reminiscent of Albert Lindemann's treatment in Esau's Tears and in his The Jew Accused in its dismissal of the apologetic accounts written by Jewish historians and in his portrayal of the very real difficulties faced by the Russian government in dealing with its Jewish population. In general, the tensions between Jews and non-Jews recounted here reflect traditional anti-Jewish themes, particularly Jewish economic domination, but there are also themes peculiar to the rise of the Jews as an educated elite that were widespread in Europe at the time. We also see here the theme of Jewish involvement in revolutionary political radicalism which culminated in the revolution of 1917.

9/11 & Nine Years of Deception and War

Posted: 08 Aug 2010 04:00 PM PDT

Nine years ago this week Larry Silverstein and his partner, the former Israeli commando Frank Lowy, closed the deal on the 99-year lease of the World Trade Center. Silverstein and Lowy, devoted agents of the state of Israel and its Zionist fund-raising organizations in New York, immediately had their leased WTC property and future rental earnings insured against a terror attack exactly like that which occurred only seven weeks later. Having obtained the lease with borrowed funds, Silverstein promptly raised rents forty percent.

Layton Tendencies

Posted: 08 Aug 2010 01:25 PM PDT

Lance Boil Hello—I'm Lance Boyle, and I'll be your host for "Modern Classics," a new movie feature coming soon to WTFN. We'll show you classic works of literature and film that have been adapted, sometimes very freely, to bring to life our political reality. Here's a sneak peek at a Canadian adaptation of Christopher Marlowe's 1604 masterpiece The Tragical History of Dr. Faustus. The story has been played and re-interpreted by other masters over the centuries—Mann, Goethe, Gounod—but its central theme has remained unchanged: a bored, frustrated but otherwise bright man sells his soul to gratify his ambitions. Here are a few scenes from Layton Tendencies.

US cannot defeat Iran without nuclear attack

Posted: 08 Aug 2010 01:03 PM PDT

"The Pentagon's planners have war-gamed an attack on Iran several times in the past 15 years, and they just can't make it come out as a US victory," says Richard Clarke, counterterrorism adviser in the White House under three administrations.

Any military historian will tell you that no regular army has ever defeated an organized guerilla resistance in a conventional warfare. The "military attack on the table", rhetoric aside, the Western leaders know that their demoralized soldiers are no match when it comes to fighting the faith-inspired Muslim resistance groups. The US, Israel, Russia, India, NATO and many other imperialist powers are learning that truth currently in Afghanistan, Iraq, Palestine, Chechnya, Philippines, Kashmir and Lebanon.

Britain: Press TV is 'anti-Semite'

Posted: 08 Aug 2010 12:41 PM PDT

The other day I found two news items in daily Guardian showing how the 'freedom of press' works in that country. One was concerning MP George Galloway's outburst on Iranian Press TV – calling Israel's invasion of Gaza "war crimes" and Israel being an "apartheid-style occupation". The other was the Israeli butchery on Free Gaza Flotilla presented on Press TV by Tony Blair's sister-in-law Lauren Booth.

Ofcom, the British broadcasting (standards) regulatory has blamed Press TV for not showing the 'expected' impartiality during its June 5th broadcast about Israeli commandos assault on board Free Gaza vessels carry humanitarian supplies and aid workers, killing nine Turks in cold blood. The regulator also objected to Lauren Booth's comment: "Israeli commandos …. committed a massacre of innocent civilians sailing aid ships to besieged Gaza Strip …. This was obviously a barbarous attack on civilians. One thing is certain: As Turkey buries its murdered citizens – the brave men and women on those ships, in one move, have shifted world opinion against Israeli apartheid."

Lebanon's female 'freedom-fighters'

Posted: 08 Aug 2010 12:30 PM PDT

Many people have not heard of Rima Fakhri. she is one of hundreds of Lebanese female freedom-fighters of Islamic Resistance, Hizbullah. She is also the member of Hizbullah's Political Council. She is against integrating Hizbullah fighters into the Lebanese army (USrael conspiring for it). "It's an illogical solution. They will be just a number in the army. The army as whole doesn't have the ability to defend our Southern border (with the Zionist entity)".

The 'New Palestine'

Posted: 08 Aug 2010 04:00 AM PDT

"You (Jews in the Diaspora) are changing jackets – you're changing countries like jackets…. If China ever became the world's foremost super power, American Jews would migrate there to assimilate rather than in the US," A.B. Yehoushua, the ultra-Zionist Israeli author told AJC conference in 2006. Many of Zionist leaders Chaim, Ben Gurion, Eshkol, Meir, Peres, Begin, etc. grew up in Diaspora, mainly in Eastern Europe.

Many Jewish writers, such as, Roger Tucker, Gilad Atzmon, Israel Shamir, Simon Jones, etc. have come to the conclusion that the only way to stop the bloodshed in the Middle East would to dismantle the Zionist entity and establish a democratic state for both the native Muslims and Christians and the foreign Jew settlers.

Israel is a land built on myths

Posted: 08 Aug 2010 03:00 AM PDT

In order to counter the delegitimization of the Zionist entity, PM Benjamin Netanyahu (Bibi) has extended the secrecy period from 50 year to 70 year – during which the world would not be allowed to know the ugly truth behind its existence. The law passed last month will keep the 'state secrets' in the archive vaults for another 20 years. Some of the secrets include the Holocaust of 100,000 Sephardic Jewish children, Lavlan affair, 1956 Sinai Campaign,Tantura massacre,1967 Occupation of Gaza, West Bank and East Jerusalem, Deir Yasin massacre, 1983 bombing of Marine barracks in Beirut, 2000 withdrawal from South Lebanon and 2006 Lebanon War.

Obama: 'We will leave Iraq this month'

Posted: 08 Aug 2010 02:49 AM PDT

Ben Obama has told the disabled US veterans in Atlanta that as per his February 27, 2009 pledge, US combat forces will be leaving this month. However, Obama was smart enough not to tell the veterans that after wasting over US$800 billion of taxpayers' money and 4300 US soldier dead and another 100,000 wounded – he is still going to leave 50,000 US soldiers in Iraq to look after the interests of Israel in the Middle East.

It was the pro-Israel warmongers like Dick Cheney, Richard Perle, John Bolton, Bill Kristol, Reuel Marc Gerecht, Norm Podhoretz, Daniel Pipes, etc. who fooled the American public by Israeli Hasbara (propaganda) lies to wage a war on Iraq, which had been US ally in 8-year war with the Islamic Republic. Now the same Israeli-poodles are running a vicious campaign against Islamic Republic. Richard Perle in a testimony before the US Senate on November 8, 2002, had claimed that Iraqi oil would pay for US war costs. Maybe it has – but only Perle and Benjamin Netanyahu would know!

Lebanon, Palestine: Provoking War

Posted: 08 Aug 2010 01:13 AM PDT

Perhaps suggesting a larger-scale planned offensive, recent violent Israeli outbreaks struck Gaza, the West Bank, and Israeli/Lebanon border, the first there since the summer 2006 war.

Chomsky: 'I regard myself as a supporter of Israel'

Posted: 08 Aug 2010 12:46 AM PDT

Israeli Channel 2 News TV reporter conducted an interview with Dr. Noam Chomsky in Amman (Jordan) on May 23, 2010 after he was not allowed by Israeli authorities to travel to the West Bank to deliver a scheduled lecture at Birzeit college. In the interview, while he debunked Israeli claim that Chomsky is a "Self-Hating, Israel-Threatening (S.H.I.T)" Jew and restated his true relation with the Zionist entity: "I regard myself as a supporter of Israel" (watch the video below).

The reporter kept churning Hasbara lies about Dr. Chomsky, Hamas, Hizbullah and the Islamic Republic. Dr. Chomsky stated that the Israeli refusal to let him enter the West Bank was pre-planned. He defended his meeting with Hizbullah leader Sheikh Nasrallah and Hizbullah's right to carry its weapons as a deterrent. He also rejected Zionist propaganda about Iranian President Dr. Ahmadinejad being calling for the destruction of Israel. He stated that both Ahmadinejad and Hizbullah are willing to accept the solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict, acceptable to Palestinians.

Rabbi for 'ground zero' Cordoba House

Posted: 07 Aug 2010 11:25 PM PDT

Rabbi Arthur Washkow of the Philadelphia-based Shalom Center joined about 30 other religious leaders and Jewish activists Thursday at the location where the Cordoba Initiative hopes to build an Islamic center that will include a mosque, an atheletic center, a school and art studios. Rabbi told the people that the mosque will help people to understand Islam beyond the current Islamophobe narrative.

Special tribunal on Hariri murder cannot be trusted

Posted: 07 Aug 2010 10:59 PM PDT

Lebanon's former prime minister Rafik Hariri was a great politician and the force behind the rebuilding of Downtown Beirut, following 15 years of civil war.

His assassination on February 14, 2005, along with 22 others, was a terrible act that needed to be investigated.

'Secret hand' in French Sahel raid

Posted: 07 Aug 2010 09:12 PM PDT

France's raid into Mali on Thursday, July 22, in an attempt to liberate a French hostage who had been seized in northern Niger in April and held hostage by al-Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM) emir Abdelhamid abou Zaïd in the Tigharghar mountains of north-east Mali, close to the village of Tessalit and less than 200kms south of the Algeria border, was an unmitigated disaster.

Not only did it fail to find Michel Germaneau, but AQIM leader, Musab Abdul Wadoud (Abdul Malek Droukdel) announced two days later that Germaneau had been executed in retaliation for the six AQIM members killed in the raid.

Iran without Ahmadinejad

Posted: 07 Aug 2010 02:01 PM PDT

Most world leaders are ignorant of the fact that the real power in the Islamic Republic is nation's Spiritual Leader, Ayatullah Ali Khamenei, who is the Rahbar (Supreme Guardian of the 1979 Islamic Revolution). He is the Supreme C-in-C of the Iranian Armed Forces. Under Iranian Constitution, he is not allowed to assume a political position, but also cannot be replaced through US-sponored 'Green Revolution'. The country's elected President is the second highest official State authority who is responsible for the implementation of the Constitution and, as the Chief Executive, for the exercise of the executive powers, with the exception of those matters that directly relate to the Leader.

Crimean Tatars fear for future

Posted: 07 Aug 2010 12:51 AM PDT

"I've already been here for 960 days, and today is the 961st," said the weather-beaten Tatar man, squinting beneath the powerful Crimean sun.

Seydamet Smailov has spent almost three years living alone in a dilapidated cabin by the side of a busy road in the Ukrainian city of Simferopol because he has a vital task to accomplish: standing guard over a pile of bricks.

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